Genoa vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
GEN
3 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 1
GEN
34%
24%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
GEN
2 - 3
BRE
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
GEN
1 - 2
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
AND
0 - 1
GEN
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 0
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
BRE
4 - 1
VIC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
GEN
2 - 3
BRE
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 1
JUV
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 2
BRE
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |