Genoa vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
JUV
4 - 0
GEN
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
GEN
3 - 0
SAM
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
GEN
1 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
INT
3 - 0
GEN
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
TOR
2 - 0
BRE
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 0
NAP
28%
23%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
INT
1 - 0
BRE
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
SAM
2 - 0
BRE
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |