Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 0
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 2
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 2
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LIV
0 - 1
BOL
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
22%
24%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
BOL
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |