Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
41%
28%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
ASC
1 - 1
GEN
62%
25%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
GEN
0 - 0
FIO
29%
31%
40%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
JUV
1 - 0
GEN
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
BOL
0 - 2
UDI
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
NAP
2 - 0
BOL
54%
27%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
BOL
2 - 0
ROM
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |