Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
PES
0 - 0
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 2
JUV
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 1
ATL
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
3 - 2
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
58%
26%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |