Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
FIO
4 - 0
GEN
55%
21%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
GEN
1 - 2
TOR
26%
23%
50%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 1
GEN
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRI
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
GEN
3 - 1
SAL
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SAL
2 - 0
BOL
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |