Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
INT
2 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
GEN
2 - 1
VNZ
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
BRE
5 - 1
GEN
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
BOL
4 - 1
USA
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 0
VIC
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
VNZ
2 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
BOL
2 - 0
INT
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |