Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
79%
13%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 3
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
LIV
3 - 2
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 3
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |