Genoa vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 2
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
INT
0 - 0
GEN
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 3
BOL
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |