Genoa vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
USF
1 - 1
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 2
TOR
39%
30%
31%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
VER
2 - 0
GEN
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAP
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
PRG
0 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 2
JUV
19%
29%
52%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VIC
2 - 2
ATL
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
NAP
2 - 2
ATL
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 0
VER
46%
29%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ATL
71%
19%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |