Genoa vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 0
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
PES
1 - 0
GEN
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
50%
30%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
27%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 0
ATL
44%
32%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
AVE
2 - 0
ATL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |