Genoa vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 4
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 2
GEN
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
GEN
0 - 0
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
GEN
4 - 0
VIC
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
PRO
3 - 2
GEN
35%
23%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 0
VIC
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 0
TOR
20%
23%
58%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ATL
5 - 0
ASL
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
64%
19%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |