Genoa vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
MOD
2 - 1
GEN
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
JUV
2 - 1
GEN
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
GEN
2 - 3
SAM
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ATL
2 - 1
NAP
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ATL
3 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 0
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |