Genoa vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 1
GEN
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
GEN
4 - 1
BAR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
FIO
1 - 2
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ATL
3 - 4
GEN
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 2
TRI
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
BOL
3 - 2
ACL
74%
15%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACM
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |