Genoa vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 1
TOR
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
UDI
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASC
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ASC
3 - 2
NUO
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
CRO
3 - 1
ASC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ASC
1 - 1
VNZ
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |