Genoa vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 0
GEN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIA
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
GEN
0 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAG
2 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TRE
3 - 1
ASC
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
ABN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
MES
2 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 3
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |