Genoa vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
GEN
48%
30%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
GEN
2 - 0
FCC
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASC
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ASC
3 - 2
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASC
47%
28%
26%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ASC
4 - 0
CAM
72%
18%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASC
43%
31%
26%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |