Genoa vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 0
GEN
55%
27%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
GEN
1 - 0
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
GEN
3 - 0
BRE
53%
29%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
REG
0 - 1
GEN
37%
33%
30%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
USF
1 - 2
GEN
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
ASC
4 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
1 - 0
MAN
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
USF
1 - 0
ASC
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
3 - 0
LEC
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CES
2 - 0
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |