Genoa vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
13.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 0
GEN
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 0
PES
63%
24%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
PIS
1 - 0
GEN
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
64%
24%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
ARZ
0 - 0
GEN
38%
31%
32%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 3
PRG
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAR
68%
22%
10%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 1
VAR
39%
32%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |