Genoa vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
48%
29%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
GEN
2 - 2
PIA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
USF
0 - 2
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 2
GEN
39%
31%
30%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
GEN
5 - 2
BRE
66%
23%
11%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
TER
56%
27%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 1
VAR
32%
31%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAT
70%
22%
9%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
69%
22%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |