Genoa vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 0
NOV
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
ROM
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 0
LEC
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
VER
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
PES
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |