Genoa vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
PAL
3 - 0
GEN
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
INT
2 - 1
GEN
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
62%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
INT
27%
26%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 2
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |