Genoa vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 1
GEN
28%
21%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
LAZ
0 - 0
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 4
FIO
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
BAR
0 - 2
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
JUV
2 - 0
BAR
92%
6%
3%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
USA
1 - 0
BAR
70%
16%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |