Genoa vs Andrea Doria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
JUV
4 - 1
GEN
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
76%
13%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Andrea Doria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ACM
1 - 2
AND
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
AND
1 - 1
JUV
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 3
AND
36%
23%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
AND
1 - 1
MOD
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
AND
1 - 1
BRE
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |