Genoa vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ATL
0 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
GEN
2 - 1
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 2
SSS
59%
27%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 2
GEN
44%
32%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
ALV
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
ALV
2 - 0
MES
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALV
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | -1 |