Genoa vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
GEN
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 0
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 2
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VNZ
1 - 3
GEN
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
BOL
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 1
LEN
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
REG
5 - 2
LEG
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
REG
0 - 1
CLO
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REG
0 - 1
DIN
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
REG
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |