Genoa vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAL
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
GEN
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDI
2 - 2
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 1
ROM
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 3
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
REG
1 - 0
VNZ
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
REG
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TER
3 - 0
REG
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
REG
0 - 0
PIS
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |