Genoa vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
UDI
4 - 0
GEN
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
GEN
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 1
EMP
63%
24%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
PES
3 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ACM
1 - 0
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
REG
1 - 4
UDI
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
REG
0 - 0
CAG
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
REG
0 - 1
ROM
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |