Genoa vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
40%
24%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 1
GEN
37%
23%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
REG
2 - 1
SAL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
ROM
4 - 0
REG
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
REG
5 - 2
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
FAN
4 - 0
REG
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |