Genoa vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PRO
4 - 3
GEN
20%
27%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 2
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
GEN
14%
24%
63%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 1
RAV
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 0
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 1
GIU
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
PRO
55%
26%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 0
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |