Genoa vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
82%
11%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 4
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
ACP
2 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 2
ACP
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
ACP
2 - 1
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
MES
1 - 1
ACP
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
PAL
3 - 0
ACP
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |