Genoa vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
PES
1 - 1
GEN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 0
SSS
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
GEN
44%
31%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 0
GEN
40%
31%
29%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 3
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
NOC
0 - 2
ASS
36%
30%
33%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ASS
3 - 0
CES
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
SPA
0 - 0
ASS
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
TER
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 1
PES
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |