Genoa vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
MES
0 - 1
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
4 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
0 - 1
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 4
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
5 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 2
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASS
54%
27%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |