Genoa vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 2
ACM
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
FIO
7 - 1
GEN
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
GEN
2 - 2
ROM
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
TOR
0 - 0
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
PAD
4 - 2
GEN
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ASS
0 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
COM
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
ASS
0 - 1
MOD
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
VER
1 - 1
ASS
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |