Genoa vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
51%
29%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
48%
31%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
GEN
2 - 1
REG
68%
22%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
GEN
3 - 1
USF
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
GEN
53%
28%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASC
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAN
58%
27%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 0
TAR
55%
28%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
44%
33%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
48%
30%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |