Genoa vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
USA
0 - 0
GEN
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 0
VNZ
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ACP
0 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
MAN
1 - 0
PRO
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
PAR
0 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
MAN
3 - 0
ACM
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
USF
0 - 0
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 1
TRI
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |