Genoa vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
GEN
3 - 3
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
REG
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
GEN
0 - 0
FIA
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACL
89%
9%
2%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ACL
3 - 1
CAG
6%
15%
79%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | +1 |