Genoa vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
PAL
2 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 0
GEN
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 1
TOR
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 1
UNI
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 1
TRI
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ATL
4 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUV
24%
22%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |