Genoa vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
71%
20%
9%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
RIM
1 - 1
GEN
38%
32%
30%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 0
PIS
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
39%
32%
28%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
USF
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 1
CES
41%
32%
27%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
54%
29%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
49%
28%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
UDI
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |