Genoa vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
19.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
37%
33%
30%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAT
55%
28%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
BAR
1 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
CES
1 - 1
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
NOV
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
CES
46%
32%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
62%
25%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
TAR
1 - 1
CES
38%
35%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |