Genoa vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 4
GEN
42%
31%
27%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
62%
25%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 0
LEC
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
ARZ
0 - 2
CAG
42%
33%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASS
44%
33%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PES
2 - 0
ARZ
56%
27%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BOL
45%
32%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |