Genoa vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 2
GEN
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAG
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SIE
1 - 0
ARZ
69%
16%
16%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1940 |
SAV
3 - 0
ARZ
39%
23%
39%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ARZ
5 - 2
LES
86%
9%
5%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ARZ
4 - 2
PON
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |