Genoa U19 vs Pordenone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
7º
1º
18
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
GEN
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 0
FER
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CIT
2 - 2
GEN
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
6 - 0
ABL
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pordenone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PUB
0 - 2
ASS
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
PUB
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 1
PUB
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PUB
2 - 2
COM
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 0
PUB
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |