Genoa Sub 18 vs Bologna Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
43.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
15º
5º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EMP
4 - 2
GEN
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 5
EMP
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
GEN
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 1
NAP
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 4
GEN
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
TOR
40%
21%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAS
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BOL
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 4
GEN
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 2
BOL
32%
21%
46%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |