Genoa Sub 17 vs Parma Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
4º
48
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOL
6 - 1
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 2
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
GEN
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 0
SMP
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
3 - 5
GEN
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Parma Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 2
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAR
19%
20%
62%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
BOL
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 3
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |