RAEC Mons vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
2º
9
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 47 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 44 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
7º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RAEC Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 0
GEN
20%
24%
55%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 0
BIN
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 1
NAM
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 3
GEN
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
STL
1 - 3
OLY
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SGI
0 - 2
STL
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RCS
0 - 0
STL
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
TUB
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 0
STL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |