Genk vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
13º
1º
11
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 55 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 51 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 19 |
16º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
90% | 10% |
|
Next round
|
9% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 2
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
1 - 2
GAE
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
3 - 1
GNK
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
3 - 1
PAO
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
3 - 3
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 1
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
SDL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 5
DEN
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
RAU
0 - 5
SDL
5%
13%
82%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 2
SDL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |