Genk vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BRU
4 - 0
GNK
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GNK
1 - 1
KVC
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
AEK
1 - 1
GNK
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MON
1 - 2
GNK
21%
23%
55%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
ROM
0 - 0
GNK
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
RAY
2 - 3
RMA
27%
25%
49%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
OVI
0 - 4
RMA
19%
22%
59%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
DEP
0 - 0
RMA
44%
24%
32%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
RMA
0 - 1
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
RMA
1 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |