Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Genk vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
GNK
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 0
GNK
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GNK
0 - 1
EUP
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GNK
2 - 2
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RWD
0 - 4
GNK
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 0
GNK
37%
23%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
OLP
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 3
OLP
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 1
SFK
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 1
OLP
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |