Genk vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
GNK
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GNK
1 - 2
BEE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
OOS
3 - 1
GNK
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
GNK
1 - 0
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GNK
1 - 2
AND
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
OOS
2 - 0
KVM
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
KVM
1 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BEE
1 - 2
KVM
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
BEE
0 - 1
KVM
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 1
KVM
22%
24%
55%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |